16. The following appeared as part of an article in the education section of a Waymarsh City newspaper.
“Throughout the last two decades, those who earned graduate degrees found it very difficult to get jobs teaching their academic specialties at the college level. Those with graduate degrees from Waymarsh University had an especially hard time finding such jobs. But better times are coming in the next decade for all academic job seekers, including those from Waymarsh. Demographic trends indicate that an increasing number of people will be reaching college age over the next ten years; consequently, we can expect that the job market will improve dramatically for people seeking college-level teaching positions in their fields.”
Waymarsh城日報教育版的一篇文章：
過去的20年內(nèi)，研究生畢業(yè)生發(fā)現(xiàn)找到在大學教授他們的學術(shù)專長的工作是很困難的。那些從Waymarsh獲得研究生學位的要找到這類工作尤其困難。但在下個10年，尋找學術(shù)工作的人（包括那些Waymarsh大學的）的好日子要來了。人口統(tǒng)計趨勢顯示達到上大學年齡的人將在未來10年增加。我們可預期對那些在他們的領(lǐng)域?qū)ふ掖髮W教學工作的人來說，工作市場將顯著增大。
1. 適齡人口增加不一定上大學人數(shù)就一定增加
2. 就算上大學人數(shù)增加需要的大學老師也不一定增加
3. 就算需要的老師增加,waymarsh的就業(yè)也不見得會水漲船高.
1， 人口增加也不一定都上大學。很可能都選擇了就業(yè)。
2， even if we grant the preceding assumption上大學的人多了不一定需要更多老師，很可能大學通過增大一個班人數(shù)的方式，保持原有老師數(shù)；
3， 就算需要GRADUATED DEGREE的人，也不代表W也會benefit from this trend，缺少信息，它可能是一個質(zhì)量不好的大學，學校不會從這里的人中挑選。foretold regarding the employability
Demographic trends that indicate an increase in the number of college-aged people over the next ten years lead the author to predict an improved job market for all people seeking college-level teaching positions in their academic disciplines. Moreover, the author argues that since Waymarsh University students with advanced degrees had an especially difficult time finding teaching jobs in the past, these trends portend better times ahead for Waymarsh graduates. This argument is problematic in three important respects.
First, the author assumes that an increase in the number of college-aged people over the next decade will necessarily result in an increase in the number of people who attend college during this period. While this is a reasonable assumption, it is by no means a certainty. For example, a world war or economic depression in the next decade would certainly nullify this expectation.
Second, even if we grant the preceding assumption, we must also consider the additional assumption that increased university enrollments will lead to an increase in teaching positions in all fields. However, it might turn out that some teaching specialties are in greater demand than others in the future, resulting in a disproportionate number of teaching positions available in various fields. Consequently, persons trained in some fields might find it more difficult, if not impossible, to find teaching jobs in the future.
Finally, little can be foretold regarding the employability of Waymarsh graduates in the future based on the information provided in the argument. Lacking information about the reasons why Waymarsh graduates had an especially difficult time finding teaching jobs, it is difficult to assess their prospects for the future. It is probable, however, that since Waymarsh has had an especially hard time placing graduates in the past, the mere fact that more jobs are available will not, by itself, ensure that Waymarsh graduates will have an easier time finding teaching jobs during the next decade.
In conclusion, this argument is unconvincing. To strengthen the argument, the author must provide evidence that the only major trend in the next decade will be an increase in the number of people reaching college age. Regarding the future prospects for Waymarsh graduates, the author must provide evidence that there were no idiosyncratic reasons that prevented them from finding jobs in the past.
“Throughout the last two decades, those who earned graduate degrees found it very difficult to get jobs teaching their academic specialties at the college level. Those with graduate degrees from Waymarsh University had an especially hard time finding such jobs. But better times are coming in the next decade for all academic job seekers, including those from Waymarsh. Demographic trends indicate that an increasing number of people will be reaching college age over the next ten years; consequently, we can expect that the job market will improve dramatically for people seeking college-level teaching positions in their fields.”
Waymarsh城日報教育版的一篇文章：
過去的20年內(nèi)，研究生畢業(yè)生發(fā)現(xiàn)找到在大學教授他們的學術(shù)專長的工作是很困難的。那些從Waymarsh獲得研究生學位的要找到這類工作尤其困難。但在下個10年，尋找學術(shù)工作的人（包括那些Waymarsh大學的）的好日子要來了。人口統(tǒng)計趨勢顯示達到上大學年齡的人將在未來10年增加。我們可預期對那些在他們的領(lǐng)域?qū)ふ掖髮W教學工作的人來說，工作市場將顯著增大。
1. 適齡人口增加不一定上大學人數(shù)就一定增加
2. 就算上大學人數(shù)增加需要的大學老師也不一定增加
3. 就算需要的老師增加,waymarsh的就業(yè)也不見得會水漲船高.
1， 人口增加也不一定都上大學。很可能都選擇了就業(yè)。
2， even if we grant the preceding assumption上大學的人多了不一定需要更多老師，很可能大學通過增大一個班人數(shù)的方式，保持原有老師數(shù)；
3， 就算需要GRADUATED DEGREE的人，也不代表W也會benefit from this trend，缺少信息，它可能是一個質(zhì)量不好的大學，學校不會從這里的人中挑選。foretold regarding the employability
Demographic trends that indicate an increase in the number of college-aged people over the next ten years lead the author to predict an improved job market for all people seeking college-level teaching positions in their academic disciplines. Moreover, the author argues that since Waymarsh University students with advanced degrees had an especially difficult time finding teaching jobs in the past, these trends portend better times ahead for Waymarsh graduates. This argument is problematic in three important respects.
First, the author assumes that an increase in the number of college-aged people over the next decade will necessarily result in an increase in the number of people who attend college during this period. While this is a reasonable assumption, it is by no means a certainty. For example, a world war or economic depression in the next decade would certainly nullify this expectation.
Second, even if we grant the preceding assumption, we must also consider the additional assumption that increased university enrollments will lead to an increase in teaching positions in all fields. However, it might turn out that some teaching specialties are in greater demand than others in the future, resulting in a disproportionate number of teaching positions available in various fields. Consequently, persons trained in some fields might find it more difficult, if not impossible, to find teaching jobs in the future.
Finally, little can be foretold regarding the employability of Waymarsh graduates in the future based on the information provided in the argument. Lacking information about the reasons why Waymarsh graduates had an especially difficult time finding teaching jobs, it is difficult to assess their prospects for the future. It is probable, however, that since Waymarsh has had an especially hard time placing graduates in the past, the mere fact that more jobs are available will not, by itself, ensure that Waymarsh graduates will have an easier time finding teaching jobs during the next decade.
In conclusion, this argument is unconvincing. To strengthen the argument, the author must provide evidence that the only major trend in the next decade will be an increase in the number of people reaching college age. Regarding the future prospects for Waymarsh graduates, the author must provide evidence that there were no idiosyncratic reasons that prevented them from finding jobs in the past.